In April, the pressure on the steel industry remained heavy. The seasonal demand improved but the margin was limited. The spot steel price fluctuated within a narrow range. Some steel products still hovered on the edge of profit and loss. Due to the lack of fundamental support, the performance of steel stocks was not surprising. Synchronous market; With the average daily production of crude steel hit a new high this month, the market's concern over the oversupply in the later period is increasing, adding to the uncertainty of whether the steel mills' profitability can be improved in the next traditional start-up season. In April, the domestic steel price rose first and then suppressed. The ore price appeared loose and the profit margin improved slightly. However, some varieties were still difficult to achieve profitability. At the beginning of the month, the spot price of domestic steel products continued to rise under the traction of futures. However, due to the end of last year, the demand was still not showing improvement. The production capacity of steel mills was obviously released and the credit of traders gradually tightened. The market was pessimistic and the domestic steel prices returned to decline. The international steel prices have also declined slightly in the same period; in terms of costs, due to continued losses, the enthusiasm of steel purchases has been weak, Tangshan iron fines and coke prices have both declined slightly, but the trend of imported iron ore remains strong; the monthly average price of steel The slight decline in recovery and overall costs has led to a slight improvement in the gross margin of all other carbon steel grades except for the cold plate in April, but the wire rod, hot coil and medium plate are still in the loss range. Destocking has been slow since April and output has reached new highs. At the end of April, total social inventories fell by 6.21% month-on-month, far below the 11.3% month-on-month decline in April stocks last month. It is worth noting that the remaining varieties except for heat coils are still at high levels year-on-year, with long products being the most obvious. In the first half of April, the average daily output of crude steel was reported at 2.03 million tons, setting a record high, and the contradiction between supply and demand in the later period of the market is accumulating. It is expected that the order organization of steel mills will remain more difficult in May, and the overall profitability of the industry will not be significantly improved. April PMI reported 53.3%, up 0.2% from the previous quarter, but the new orders index was 54.5%, down 0.6% from the previous quarter and 2.7 percentage points behind the production index, reflecting that demand support was still insufficient. From the communication between the pre-holiday and some of East China's traders, the bank started to suspend loans to some steel trade enterprises in mid-to-late April due to risk control considerations, and increased the repatriation of funds from previous loans. It will increase the difficulty of diverting the sales orders of steel mills to middlemen in May. Under the condition of weak demand, the pressure of production and the high cost will continue to limit the overall profitability of the industry.
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